2025 Gold Cup Odds: El Tri Favored Ahead Of USA-Mexico Final

The 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup is nearing its conclusion, as the tournament has reached the final.

The U.S. men’s national team is fresh off a 2-1 victory over Guatemala, following a thrilling penalty shootout win against Costa Rica in the quarterfinals.

In the other semifinal, Mexico defeated Honduras 1-0 on Wednesday.

Now, the USMNT and Mexico will face each other in the championship match on Sunday, July 6, at 7 p.m. ET on FS1.

The U.S. has claimed seven Gold Cup titles, with its most recent championship coming in 2021.

Meanwhile, Mexico recently found its stride, having won the Nations League Finals this past spring and claiming the Gold Cup title in 2023.

The only time the tournament was won by a country other than the U.S. or Mexico was in 2000, with Canada taking home the title that year

Will Mexico, the favorite to win a record-setting 10th title, be able to claim the trophy?

Let’s dive into the odds as of July 3 at DraftKings Sportsbook.  

CONCACAF Gold Cup winner

Mexico: -135 (bet $10 to win $17.41 total)
USA: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)

Despite missing several stars this summer for various reasons — including Christian Pulisic, Jedi Robinson, Yunus Musah, Weston McKennie, Tim Weah and Sergino Dest — the U.S. found its rhythm, finishing the group stage perfectly with three straight wins.

The U.S. men’s national team defeated Guatemala after Diego Luna dominated early.

Luna scored two goals in the first 15 minutes, with his second being his third-ever international goal.

“He is absolutely lighting up the Gold Cup,” Landon Donovan said on the FOX Sports broadcast during the first half. “Fantastic quality and work rate. This man has become an absolute star.”

Recently, Mexico has been impressive defensively, not allowing a goal since their group-stage opener against the Dominican Republic. Meanwhile, the U.S. men’s national team has conceded one goal in each of its last three matches.

The last time these two teams met was in October, during Pochettino’s second match as the USMNT manager, where Mexico secured a 2-0 victory.

This Sunday’s Gold Cup final will be the eighth time these North American rivals have clashed in the championship match.

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Felicia Ray Owens
Felicia Ray Owenshttps://feliciarayowens.com

Felicia Ray Owens is a media founder, cultural strategist, and civic advocate who creates platforms where power meets lived truth. As the voice behind C4: Coffee. Cocktails. Culture. Conversation and the founder of FROUSA Media, she uses storytelling, public dialogue, and organizing to spotlight the issues that matter most—locally and nationally.

A longtime advocate for community wellness and political engagement, Felicia brings experience as a former Precinct Chair and former Chief Communications Officer of Indivisible Hill Country. Her work bridges culture, activism, and healing through curated spaces designed to inspire real change.

Learn more at FROUSA.org

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