Nvidia Corporation’s NVDA plans to ship its H20 artificial intelligence chips to China have received a significant boost, as the U.S. Commerce Department has reportedly granted the company licenses to resume exports, potentially preventing an $8 billion loss.
Nvidia Wins Key Export Licenses For H20 Chips To China
On Friday, Nvidia overcame a major hurdle after the U.S. granted it export licenses to resume shipments of its H20 graphics processing units (GPUs) to China, reported Reuters.
This decision followed a reversal of the previous ban imposed in April due to U.S. export controls targeting China’s AI and defense technology sectors. Nvidia had tailored its H20 chip specifically for the Chinese market to comply with these restrictions.
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Financial Impact: Nvidia’s Losses And Potential Gains
The decision is timely, as Nvidia had previously warned that the export restrictions could result in a loss of up to $8 billion in sales during the July quarter.
The company had also revealed that it expected a charge of $5.5 billion due to the restrictions, though it was able to mitigate some of the impact by reusing materials.
In May, Nvidia reported that the first-quarter charge related to these restrictions was $1 billion less than anticipated.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had also expressed concerns that the company’s leadership position could be jeopardized without continued access to China, where rival companies like Huawei Technologies are aggressively targeting developers with locally produced chips.
China’s Growing Local Chip Market Poses Challenges For Nvidia
Despite the license approval, Nvidia faces growing competition from Chinese chipmakers such as Huawei, Cambricon and Hygon.
Analysts at Bernstein have projected that Nvidia’s market share in China’s AI chip sector will decline, from 66% in 2024 to 54% in 2025, largely due to local companies’ aggressive growth and the impact of U.S. sanctions.
Still, analysts like Needham’s N. Quinn Bolton remain optimistic. The analyst predicted strong demand for Nvidia’s H20 and upcoming China-specific GPUs, forecasting significant future revenue in the Chinese data center market.
Geopolitical Tensions Continue Over AI Chips
The approval of Nvidia’s export licenses is also set against the backdrop of continuing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China.
The U.S. government has maintained strict controls over the export of cutting-edge semiconductor technologies, citing national security concerns related to China’s AI and defense capabilities.
This has sparked retaliatory actions from China, including trade barriers aimed at U.S. semiconductor firms.
Price Action: On Friday, Nvidia’s stock rose 1.09% in regular trading and inched up an additional 0.05% after hours, finishing at $182.83, according to Benzinga Pro.
Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings show NVDA’s positive price trend across short, medium and long-term periods. However, despite this solid growth, its overall value score remains comparatively low. Additional performance insights are available here.
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
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